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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 89%

Total Value

$3.84

Combined PnL

-$669.2

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares757

Combined PnL-$671.7

Up1 trader

Total Value$3.84

Total Shares4

Combined PnL+$2.5

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.4¢	$520.49	—	-$485.36	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 39.2¢	$37.53	—	-$37.53	54% 2171-1861 (4032)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 57.8¢	$49.85	—	-$49.85	52% 4868-4560 (9428)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$34.86	—	-$34.86	43% 1118-1501 (2619)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$25.48	—	-$25.48	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$22.75	—	-$17.12	49% 4234-4320 (8554)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$2.05	—	-$2.05	38% 1307-2140 (3447)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 35¢	$1.34	$3.84	+$2.5	60% 3476-2322 (5798)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 57.6¢	$19.45	—	-$19.45	51% 3131-3018 (6149)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$520.49

Value

—

PnL

-$485.36

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$37.53

Value

—

PnL

-$37.53

Record

54%

2171-1861 (4032)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$49.85

Value

—

PnL

-$49.85

Record

52%

4868-4560 (9428)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$34.86

Value

—

PnL

-$34.86

Record

43%

1118-1501 (2619)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$25.48

Value

—

PnL

-$25.48

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$22.75

Value

—

PnL

-$17.12

Record

49%

4234-4320 (8554)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

38%

1307-2140 (3447)

Invested

$1.34

Value

$3.84

PnL

+$2.5

Record

60%

3476-2322 (5798)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$19.45

Value

—

PnL

-$19.45

Record

51%

3131-3018 (6149)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x84a19046...a39a9d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794654300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

13897651

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $3.84

soswald1

Down — $0

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