Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$31.62

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 14 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$503.28

Total Shares503

Combined PnL+$183.91

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares180

Combined PnL-$152.29

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 51.9¢	$528.08	$481.25	-$22.71	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.9¢	$262.02	—	-$256.06
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$238.25	$481.25	+$233.35
BL blue.birds	Downavg 50.4¢	$129.15	$154.29	+$25.13	52% 4868-4560 (9428)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$150	$141.68	+$29.03	51% 3131-3018 (6149)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 65¢	$126.6	$91.31	-$35.29	54% 2171-1861 (4032)
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.4¢	$21.37	$91.31	+$69.94
└ Up leg	Upavg 65¢	$105.23	—	-$105.23
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 71.1¢	$68.86	—	-$68.86	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$64.35	$65	+$0.65	98% 3371-72 (3443)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 66.8¢	$48.43	—	-$48.43	49% 4234-4320 (8554)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 77.1¢	$45.86	$58.05	+$12.19	43% 1118-1501 (2619)
└ Down leg	Downavg 24.7¢	$14.35	$58.05	+$43.7
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.1¢	$31.51	—	-$31.51
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 23.3¢	$3.5	$15	+$11.5	47% 1950-2185 (4135)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 92¢	$13.95	—	-$13.95	47% 1993-2245 (4238)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 81¢	$7.29	—	-$7.29	60% 3476-2322 (5798)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 4.8¢	$3.2	$66.31	+$63.11	32% 958-2010 (2968)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 92¢	$5.52	—	-$5.52	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 15.2¢	$3.96	$26	+$22.04	44% 1915-2467 (4382)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 16.4¢	$2.93	—	-$2.93	37% 1273-2122 (3395)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 7.3¢	$2.55	$35	+$32.45	38% 1307-2140 (3447)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 53¢	$5.3	—	-$5.3	48% 1927-2124 (4051)