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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 30%

Total Value

$324.44

Combined PnL

-$496.14

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares590
Combined PnL-$523.75
Down7 traders
Total Value$324.44
Total Shares324
Combined PnL+$27.61
Up — 30%Down — 70%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$501.65

Value

—

PnL

-$485.05

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$156.8

Value

$160

PnL

+$13.25

Record

51%

3131-3018 (6149)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$59.43

Value

$60.1

PnL

+$0.67

Record

32%

958-2010 (2968)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$22.32

Value

$33.82

PnL

+$11.5

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$26.55

Value

$25

PnL

-$1.55

Record

43%

1118-1501 (2619)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$22.48

Value

$23

PnL

+$0.52

Record

41%

1475-2082 (3557)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$28

Value

—

PnL

-$28

Record

49%

4234-4320 (8554)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$17.25

Value

$17.27

PnL

+$0.02

Record

51%

1297-1233 (2530)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$2.05

Value

$5.26

PnL

+$3.21

Record

38%

1307-2140 (3447)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.7

Value

—

PnL

-$10.7

Record

54%

2171-1861 (4032)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa2702cf7...90dd69
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794653700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$485.05
SO

soswald1

Down — $160

+$13.25

pspspsps5

Down — $60.1

+$0.67
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $33.82

+$11.5
13

13897651

Down — $25

-$1.55
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $23

+$0.52
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$28
0X

0x50f7

Down — $17.27

+$0.02

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $5.26

+$3.21
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$10.7
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