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UpUpDownDownUpUp
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$52.14
Combined PnL
-$641.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares677
Combined PnL-$650.94
Down2 traders
Total Value$52.14
Total Shares52
Combined PnL+$9.94
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | — | -$150 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $37.24 | $47.14 | +$9.9 | 54% 2156-1847 (4003) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.96 | $5 | +$0.04 | 42% 1107-1498 (2605) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $0.64 | — | -$0.64 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 50% 4218-4300 (8518) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 38% 1297-2123 (3420) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$150
Value
—
PnL
-$150
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$37.24
Value
$47.14
PnL
+$9.9
Record
54%
2156-1847 (4003)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$4.96
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.04
Record
42%
1107-1498 (2605)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.64
Value
—
PnL
-$0.64
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
50%
4218-4300 (8518)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
38%
1297-2123 (3420)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7ec99f36...a3f1b1
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794651600