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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 85%

Total Value

$105

Combined PnL

-$713.4

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 13 top traders (85%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,009
Combined PnL-$727.1
Down2 traders
Total Value$105
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$13.7
Up — 85%Down — 15%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$506.05

Value

—

PnL

-$494.02

Record

54%

3204-2681 (5885)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$156.35

Value

—

PnL

-$150.85

Record

51%

3113-3000 (6113)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$74.36

Value

$77

PnL

+$2.64

Record

38%

1297-2123 (3420)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$18.76

Value

$28

PnL

+$11.06

Record

50%

4218-4300 (8518)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$27.94

Value

—

PnL

-$27.94

Record

54%

2156-1847 (4003)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$20.61

Value

—

PnL

-$20.61

Record

51%

2935-2874 (5809)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.5

Value

—

PnL

-$13.5

Record

42%

1107-1498 (2605)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.43

Value

—

PnL

-$6.43

Record

51%

1292-1224 (2516)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

60%

3454-2312 (5766)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.82

Value

—

PnL

-$1.82

Record

48%

1372-1476 (2848)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.01

Value

—

PnL

-$4.97

Record

52%

4851-4544 (9395)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

50%

2066-2059 (4125)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.9

Value

—

PnL

-$3.9

Record

47%

1944-2175 (4119)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x87b1360e...64a7b6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794650100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$494.02
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$150.85

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $77

+$2.64
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $28

+$11.06
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$27.94
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$20.61
13

13897651

CTR

Up — $0

-$13.5
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.43
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.95

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.82
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