Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Up 53%
$254.17
-$637.06
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.3¢ | $516.56 | — | -$500.87 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $72.54 | $65.27 | -$7.28 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $65.44 | $60 | -$4.74 | 50% 4218-4300 (8518) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $38.17 | $43.17 | +$5 | 42% 1107-1498 (2605) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 67.1¢ | $46.58 | $37 | -$5.13 | 52% 4851-4544 (9395) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.8¢ | $70.38 | — | -$70.38 | 54% 2156-1847 (4003) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $37.07 | $19.47 | -$15.81 | 38% 1297-2123 (3420) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $17.08 | $15.22 | -$1.86 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 48% 1139-1227 (2366) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $12.21 | $12 | +$3.67 | 42% 1466-2059 (3525) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $10.58 | — | -$10.58 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $9.39 | — | -$9.39 | 50% 1286-1280 (2566) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 48% 1918-2109 (4027) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.9¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 44% 1903-2453 (4356) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 50% 719-722 (1441) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 47% 1977-2239 (4216) |
Invested
$516.56
Value
—
PnL
-$500.87
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Invested
$72.54
Value
$65.27
PnL
-$7.28
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
Invested
$65.44
Value
$60
PnL
-$4.74
Record
50%
4218-4300 (8518)
Invested
$38.17
Value
$43.17
PnL
+$5
Record
42%
1107-1498 (2605)
Invested
$46.58
Value
$37
PnL
-$5.13
Record
52%
4851-4544 (9395)
Invested
$70.38
Value
—
PnL
-$70.38
Record
54%
2156-1847 (4003)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$37.07
Value
$19.47
PnL
-$15.81
Record
38%
1297-2123 (3420)
Invested
$17.08
Value
$15.22
PnL
-$1.86
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
48%
1139-1227 (2366)
Invested
$12.21
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.67
Record
42%
1466-2059 (3525)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$10.58
Value
—
PnL
-$10.58
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
Invested
$9.39
Value
—
PnL
-$9.39
Record
50%
1286-1280 (2566)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
48%
1918-2109 (4027)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
44%
1903-2453 (4356)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
719-722 (1441)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
47%
1977-2239 (4216)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $65.27
asdcaxz
Down — $60
13897651
Down — $43.17
blue.birds
Down — $37
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $19.47
uninformedfloww
Down — $15.22
PBot-5
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $12