Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 40%
$95.16
-$480.79
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.5¢ | $506.27 | — | -$496.36 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 39.6¢ | $13.85 | $35 | +$21.15 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $13.25 | — | -$13.25 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $21.21 | $25.51 | +$4.3 | 42% 1095-1493 (2588) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $13.89 | — | -$8.99 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $4 | $10 | +$6 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.26 | $7 | +$5.74 | 48% 1366-1467 (2833) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.66 | $12.66 | +$10 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.1¢ | $14.08 | — | -$14.08 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.3 | $5 | +$4.7 | 44% 1886-2437 (4323) |
Invested
$506.27
Value
—
PnL
-$496.36
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$13.85
Value
$35
PnL
+$21.15
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
Invested
$13.25
Value
—
PnL
-$13.25
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
Invested
$21.21
Value
$25.51
PnL
+$4.3
Record
42%
1095-1493 (2588)
Invested
$13.89
Value
—
PnL
-$8.99
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4
Value
$10
PnL
+$6
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.74
Record
48%
1366-1467 (2833)
Invested
$2.66
Value
$12.66
PnL
+$10
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
Invested
$14.08
Value
—
PnL
-$14.08
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.7
Record
44%
1886-2437 (4323)