Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 56%
1 arb excluded
$548.11
-$153.33
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $515.21 | $500.01 | +$2.9 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $249.22 | $500.01 | +$251.1 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.2Β’ | $248.67 | β | -$248.2 | |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $155.55 | β | -$149.3 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $15.5 | β | -$15.5 | 50% 1731-1732 (3463) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $8.5 | $10 | +$1.5 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $9.77 | $16.12 | +$6.35 | 42% 1095-1493 (2588) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $4.93 | $8 | +$3.07 | 60% 3418-2292 (5710) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.62 | $9.62 | +$5 | 50% 705-716 (1421) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $3.34 | $4.13 | +$0.79 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.3Β’ | $5.15 | β | -$5.15 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $0.2 | β | -$0.2 | 51% 1285-1221 (2506) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $0.12 | $0.24 | +$0.12 | 48% 1131-1211 (2342) |
Invested
$515.21
Value
$500.01
PnL
+$2.9
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Both legs:
Invested
$155.55
Value
β
PnL
-$149.3
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
Invested
$15.5
Value
β
PnL
-$15.5
Record
50%
1731-1732 (3463)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.5
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
Invested
$9.77
Value
$16.12
PnL
+$6.35
Record
42%
1095-1493 (2588)
Invested
$4.93
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.07
Record
60%
3418-2292 (5710)
Invested
$4.62
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
705-716 (1421)
Invested
$3.34
Value
$4.13
PnL
+$0.79
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
Invested
$5.15
Value
β
PnL
-$5.15
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
Invested
$0.2
Value
β
PnL
-$0.2
Record
51%
1285-1221 (2506)
Invested
$0.12
Value
$0.24
PnL
+$0.12
Record
48%
1131-1211 (2342)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
Up β $10
13897651
Up β $16.12
aaa221
Up β $8
PBot-6
Up β $9.62
ply-pm2
Up β $4.13
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0
0x50f7
CTRDown β $0