Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$653.43
-$2.36
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $502.94 | $496.46 | +$3.01 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $248.23 | $496.46 | +$248.48 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $241.34 | β | -$245.47 | |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $83.25 | $82.95 | -$0.3 | 38% 1284-2104 (3388) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 93.5Β’ | $24.83 | $26.54 | +$1.71 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.7Β’ | $4.5 | β | -$4.5 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 90.4Β’ | $21.33 | $22.48 | +$1.15 | 42% 1095-1493 (2588) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3Β’ | $0.9 | β | -$0.9 | 32% 943-1979 (2922) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 51% 1285-1221 (2506) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $9.3 | $10 | +$0.7 | 47% 1965-2218 (4183) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5Β’ | $0.25 | β | -$0.25 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
Invested
$502.94
Value
$496.46
PnL
+$3.01
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$83.25
Value
$82.95
PnL
-$0.3
Record
38%
1284-2104 (3388)
Invested
$24.83
Value
$26.54
PnL
+$1.71
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Invested
$4.5
Value
β
PnL
-$4.5
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
Invested
$21.33
Value
$22.48
PnL
+$1.15
Record
42%
1095-1493 (2588)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
β
PnL
-$0.9
Record
32%
943-1979 (2922)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1285-1221 (2506)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.7
Record
47%
1965-2218 (4183)
Invested
$0.25
Value
β
PnL
-$0.25
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $82.95
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $26.54
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
13897651
Up β $22.48

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0
0x50f7
Up β $15
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $10
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0