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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 80%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$771.6

Combined PnL

$40.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$207.4

Total Shares207

Combined PnL+$41.31

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares17

Combined PnL-$0.79

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$1.5	55% 3173-2646 (5819)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	—	-$248.5
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$84.9	$64.2	-$20.7	54% 2138-1828 (3966)
└ Up leg	Upavg 92.5¢	$59.4	$64.2	+$4.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 51¢	$25.5	—	-$25.5
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 79.5¢	$38.24	$41.37	+$3.13	42% 1095-1493 (2588)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 83.2¢	$22.88	$25	+$2.12	50% 4199-4276 (8475)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 59.5¢	$17.85	$30	+$12.15	51% 3088-2980 (6068)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 94¢	$37.58	$39.98	+$2.4	32% 943-1979 (2922)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 95.4¢	$14.95	$15.68	+$0.73	38% 1284-2104 (3388)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 54.6¢	$13.95	$25.16	+$11.21	52% 4832-4520 (9352)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$10	$20	+$10	50% 1731-1732 (3463)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 65¢	$10.63	$10.21	-$0.42	60% 3418-2292 (5710)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 6.2¢	$0.74	—	-$0.74	41% 1439-2039 (3478)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 1265-2105 (3370)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$1.5

Record

55%

3173-2646 (5819)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$247.550¢-$248.5

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$84.9

Value

$64.2

PnL

-$20.7

Record

54%

2138-1828 (3966)

Both legs:

Up$59.492.5¢+$4.8

Down$25.551¢-$25.5

Invested

$38.24

Value

$41.37

PnL

+$3.13

Record

42%

1095-1493 (2588)

Invested

$22.88

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.12

Record

50%

4199-4276 (8475)

Invested

$17.85

Value

$30

PnL

+$12.15

Record

51%

3088-2980 (6068)

Invested

$37.58

Value

$39.98

PnL

+$2.4

Record

32%

943-1979 (2922)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$14.95

Value

$15.68

PnL

+$0.73

Record

38%

1284-2104 (3388)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$13.95

Value

$25.16

PnL

+$11.21

Record

52%

4832-4520 (9352)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$10

Value

$20

PnL

+$10

Record

50%

1731-1732 (3463)

Invested

$10.63

Value

$10.21

PnL

-$0.42

Record

60%

3418-2292 (5710)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.74

Value

—

PnL

-$0.74

Record

41%

1439-2039 (3478)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

1265-2105 (3370)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0eb649e7...6d55e1

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794646500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $41.37

asdcaxz

Up — $25

soswald1

Up — $30

pspspsps5

Up — $39.98

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $15.68

blue.birds

Up — $25.16

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $20

aaa221

Up — $10.21

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