Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 19% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Up 13%
$281.35
-$404.78
Smart Money Signal
3 of 16 top traders (19%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.5¢ | $516.35 | — | -$505.31 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $36.18 | $38.34 | +$2.16 | 42% 1095-1493 (2588) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 28.9¢ | $21.27 | $42.11 | +$20.84 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $4.2 | $15 | +$10.8 | 47% 1924-2156 (4080) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $21.45 | $35 | +$13.55 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $28.15 | — | -$24.25 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.2 | $10 | +$8.8 | 47% 1965-2218 (4183) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $157.14 | $47.28 | +$3.26 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.52 | $8 | +$6.48 | 38% 1284-2104 (3388) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $15.15 | $35 | +$19.85 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 15.5¢ | $3.11 | $20.1 | +$16.99 | 32% 943-1979 (2922) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $2.05 | $10 | +$7.95 | 48% 1903-2089 (3992) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.21 | $8.51 | +$6.3 | 60% 3418-2292 (5710) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.61 | $7 | +$5.39 | 48% 1366-1467 (2833) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 48% 1131-1211 (2342) |
Invested
$516.35
Value
—
PnL
-$505.31
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$36.18
Value
$38.34
PnL
+$2.16
Record
42%
1095-1493 (2588)
Invested
$21.27
Value
$42.11
PnL
+$20.84
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.8
Record
47%
1924-2156 (4080)
Invested
$21.45
Value
$35
PnL
+$13.55
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
Invested
$28.15
Value
—
PnL
-$24.25
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.8
Record
47%
1965-2218 (4183)
Invested
$157.14
Value
$47.28
PnL
+$3.26
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
$8
PnL
+$6.48
Record
38%
1284-2104 (3388)
Invested
$15.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$19.85
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.11
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$16.99
Record
32%
943-1979 (2922)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.95
Record
48%
1903-2089 (3992)
Invested
$2.21
Value
$8.51
PnL
+$6.3
Record
60%
3418-2292 (5710)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$1.61
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.39
Record
48%
1366-1467 (2833)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
48%
1131-1211 (2342)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $38.34
blue.birds
Down — $42.11
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $15
soswald1
Down — $35
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $10
ply-pm2
Down — $47.28
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $8
uninformedfloww
Down — $35