Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$2
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $509.53 | $490 | -$5.43 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $251.53 | β | -$251.53 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $247.88 | $490 | +$246.1 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 98.6Β’ | $270.62 | $274.38 | +$3.76 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $135.63 | $137 | +$1.37 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 99Β’ | $129.99 | $131.3 | +$1.31 | 32% 936-1965 (2901) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 69.8Β’ | $21.21 | $30.37 | +$9.17 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 90.1Β’ | $21.29 | $21.83 | +$0.53 | 42% 1083-1491 (2574) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $1.95 | β | -$1.95 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $1.32 | β | -$1.32 | 38% 1273-2090 (3363) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1Β’ | $7.25 | β | -$7.25 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $0.63 | β | -$0.63 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
Invested
$509.53
Value
$490
PnL
-$5.43
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Both legs:
Invested
$270.62
Value
$274.38
PnL
+$3.76
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
Invested
$135.63
Value
$137
PnL
+$1.37
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
pspspsps5Invested
$129.99
Value
$131.3
PnL
+$1.31
Record
32%
936-1965 (2901)
Invested
$21.21
Value
$30.37
PnL
+$9.17
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
Invested
$21.29
Value
$21.83
PnL
+$0.53
Record
42%
1083-1491 (2574)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
Invested
$1.95
Value
β
PnL
-$1.95
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
β
PnL
-$1.32
Record
38%
1273-2090 (3363)
Invested
$7.25
Value
β
PnL
-$7.25
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
Invested
$0.63
Value
β
PnL
-$0.63
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $274.38
hoodquant
Down β $137

pspspsps5
Down β $131.3
soswald1
Down β $30.37
13897651
Down β $21.83
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
blue.birds
CTRUp β $0