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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 22%

Total Value

$154.03

Combined PnL

-$467.94

Smart Money Signal

Down

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares513

Combined PnL-$502.57

Up7 traders

Total Value$154.03

Total Shares154

Combined PnL+$34.63

Down — 22%Up — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.9¢	$507.05	—	-$499.1	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 57.9¢	$33.04	$33.03	-$0.01	42% 1083-1491 (2574)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 64¢	$33.13	$50	+$16.87	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 55¢	$20.25	$20	-$0.25	52% 4818-4502 (9320)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$15.5	$31	+$15.5	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 65¢	$7.37	$10	+$2.63	50% 4185-4256 (8441)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 98¢	$6.6	$5	-$1.6	38% 1273-2090 (3363)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$3.47	—	-$3.47	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 70¢	$3.5	$5	+$1.5	51% 2884-2810 (5694)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$507.05

Value

—

PnL

-$499.1

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Invested

$33.04

Value

$33.03

PnL

-$0.01

Record

42%

1083-1491 (2574)

Invested

$33.13

Value

$50

PnL

+$16.87

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$20.25

Value

$20

PnL

-$0.25

Record

52%

4818-4502 (9320)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$15.5

Value

$31

PnL

+$15.5

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

Invested

$7.37

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.63

Record

50%

4185-4256 (8441)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$6.6

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.6

Record

38%

1273-2090 (3363)

Invested

$3.47

Value

—

PnL

-$3.47

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$3.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.5

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

Smart Money Signal

Down

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd9d1cb22...028273

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794644700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $33.03

ply-pm2

Up — $50

blue.birds

Up — $20

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $31

asdcaxz

Up — $10

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $5

aaa221

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $5

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