Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 71%
1 arb excluded
$612.31
$7.79
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $509.08 | $502.33 | +$0.7 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $252.53 | $502.33 | +$250.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.3¢ | $246.6 | — | -$249.6 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $37.53 | $45.85 | +$8.32 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $27.79 | $30 | +$2.21 | 42% 1083-1491 (2574) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $22.57 | $20.36 | -$2.21 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 70.9¢ | $8.83 | $10.32 | +$1.5 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $2.45 | $3.45 | +$1 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 32% 936-1965 (2901) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
Invested
$509.08
Value
$502.33
PnL
+$0.7
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Both legs:
Invested
$37.53
Value
$45.85
PnL
+$8.32
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
Invested
$27.79
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.21
Record
42%
1083-1491 (2574)
Invested
$22.57
Value
$20.36
PnL
-$2.21
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Invested
$8.83
Value
$10.32
PnL
+$1.5
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$3.45
PnL
+$1
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
32%
936-1965 (2901)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)