Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 88%
1 arb excluded
$700.85
$1.76
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $506.01 | $495 | -$5.8 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $253.5 | β | -$252.8 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $247.5 | $495 | +$247 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 69.9Β’ | $61.68 | $63.5 | +$1.82 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 63.8Β’ | $45.51 | $40.15 | -$5.35 | 42% 1083-1491 (2574) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 46.7Β’ | $37.97 | $39.51 | +$3.07 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.4Β’ | $16.48 | β | -$16.48 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 83.1Β’ | $25.1 | $30.2 | +$5.1 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 37.4Β’ | $7.7 | $20.57 | +$12.87 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $5.85 | $5.91 | +$0.06 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $5.34 | $6 | +$0.66 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
Invested
$506.01
Value
$495
PnL
-$5.8
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Both legs:
Invested
$61.68
Value
$63.5
PnL
+$1.82
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$45.51
Value
$40.15
PnL
-$5.35
Record
42%
1083-1491 (2574)
Invested
$37.97
Value
$39.51
PnL
+$3.07
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
Invested
$16.48
Value
β
PnL
-$16.48
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
Invested
$25.1
Value
$30.2
PnL
+$5.1
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
Invested
$7.7
Value
$20.57
PnL
+$12.87
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Invested
$5.85
Value
$5.91
PnL
+$0.06
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.66
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $63.5
13897651
Up β $40.15
blue.birds
Up β $39.51
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
soswald1
Up β $30.2
asdcaxz
Up β $20.57
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $5.91
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $6