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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$752.34

Combined PnL

-$0.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$253.79

Total Shares254

Combined PnL+$20.24

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares45

Combined PnL-$20.48

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$503.39	$498.55	-$2.57	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.28	$498.55	+$249.29
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$252.03	—	-$251.86
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$0.22	51% 3061-2966 (6027)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 73.8¢	$38.3	$41.17	+$2.87	42% 1083-1491 (2574)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 59.6¢	$25.45	$22	-$3.45	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$15.5	$31	+$15.5	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 50.8¢	$11.65	—	-$11.65	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 53¢	$6.32	$5	+$3.43	50% 4185-4256 (8441)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 63¢	$5.04	—	-$5.04	47% 1910-2144 (4054)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.94	$4.62	+$1.68	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	32% 936-1965 (2901)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$3.69	—	-$3.69	52% 4818-4502 (9320)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$503.39

Value

$498.55

PnL

-$2.57

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Both legs:

Up$249.2850¢+$249.29

Down$252.0349.7¢-$251.86

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0.22

Record

51%

3061-2966 (6027)

Invested

$38.3

Value

$41.17

PnL

+$2.87

Record

42%

1083-1491 (2574)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$25.45

Value

$22

PnL

-$3.45

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$15.5

Value

$31

PnL

+$15.5

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$11.65

Value

—

PnL

-$11.65

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

Invested

$6.32

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.43

Record

50%

4185-4256 (8441)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$5.04

Value

—

PnL

-$5.04

Record

47%

1910-2144 (4054)

Invested

$2.94

Value

$4.62

PnL

+$1.68

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

32%

936-1965 (2901)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$3.69

Value

—

PnL

-$3.69

Record

52%

4818-4502 (9320)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x59c8e54e...d3e8b2

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794642300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

13897651

Up — $41.17

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $22

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $31

ply-pm2

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Up — $5

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $4.62

pspspsps5

Down — $0

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