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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Down 77%

Total Value

$963.04

Combined PnL

$2.11

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$963.04

Total Shares963

Combined PnL+$41.45

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares81

Combined PnL-$39.34

Down — 77%Up — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.3¢	$521.31	$500	-$2.75	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$150	$131.39	-$0.3	51% 3061-2966 (6027)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 65.7¢	$73.41	$67.79	-$5.62	42% 1083-1491 (2574)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 61.7¢	$59.81	$60.7	+$0.9	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 59.4¢	$28.54	$48.07	+$19.53	52% 4818-4502 (9320)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 76¢	$37.36	$49.16	+$11.8	49% 1252-1281 (2533)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 59.2¢	$42.72	$38.92	+$0.85	50% 4185-4256 (8441)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 51.1¢	$37.48	—	-$37.48	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 64¢	$38.5	$50	+$11.5	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 67¢	$6.7	$10	+$3.3	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 68¢	$4.76	$7	+$2.24	48% 1360-1458 (2818)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	32% 936-1965 (2901)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 32.1¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	38% 1273-2090 (3363)

Invested

$521.31

Value

$500

PnL

-$2.75

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

Invested

$150

Value

$131.39

PnL

-$0.3

Record

51%

3061-2966 (6027)

Invested

$73.41

Value

$67.79

PnL

-$5.62

Record

42%

1083-1491 (2574)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$59.81

Value

$60.7

PnL

+$0.9

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$28.54

Value

$48.07

PnL

+$19.53

Record

52%

4818-4502 (9320)

Invested

$37.36

Value

$49.16

PnL

+$11.8

Record

49%

1252-1281 (2533)

Invested

$42.72

Value

$38.92

PnL

+$0.85

Record

50%

4185-4256 (8441)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$37.48

Value

—

PnL

-$37.48

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

Invested

$38.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$11.5

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

Invested

$6.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.3

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$4.76

Value

$7

PnL

+$2.24

Record

48%

1360-1458 (2818)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

32%

936-1965 (2901)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

38%

1273-2090 (3363)

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x971d5c1f...35f7ce

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794642000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

soswald1

Down — $131.39

13897651

Down — $67.79

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $60.7

blue.birds

Down — $48.07

mo-money

Down — $49.16

asdcaxz

Down — $38.92

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $50

aaa221

Down — $10

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