Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 82%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$92.64
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $517.91 | $505 | +$2.45 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.6¢ | $255.57 | $505 | +$250.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.5¢ | $244.86 | — | -$248.35 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $193.3 | $250 | +$56.7 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $151.38 | $147.42 | +$12.13 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 67.7¢ | $60.36 | $69.45 | +$9.1 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $31.83 | $38.64 | +$6.81 | 42% 1071-1482 (2553) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $29.73 | $32.73 | +$3 | 38% 1261-2069 (3330) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $16.04 | $19.68 | +$3.64 | 32% 925-1945 (2870) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $14.1 | $20 | +$5.9 | 52% 2416-2220 (4636) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $8.54 | — | -$8.54 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $8.75 | $14 | +$5.25 | 48% 1355-1450 (2805) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $5.58 | $8.03 | +$2.45 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
Invested
$517.91
Value
$505
PnL
+$2.45
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
Invested
$193.3
Value
$250
PnL
+$56.7
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$151.38
Value
$147.42
PnL
+$12.13
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
Invested
$60.36
Value
$69.45
PnL
+$9.1
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$31.83
Value
$38.64
PnL
+$6.81
Record
42%
1071-1482 (2553)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$29.73
Value
$32.73
PnL
+$3
Record
38%
1261-2069 (3330)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$16.04
Value
$19.68
PnL
+$3.64
Record
32%
925-1945 (2870)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.9
Record
52%
2416-2220 (4636)
Invested
$8.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.54
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$8.75
Value
$14
PnL
+$5.25
Record
48%
1355-1450 (2805)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$8.03
PnL
+$2.45
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $250
soswald1
Down — $147.42
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $69.45
13897651
Down — $38.64
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $32.73
pspspsps5
Down — $19.68
MayorMamdani
Down — $20
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $14