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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 88%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$799.4

Combined PnL

-$3.41

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$299.4

Total Shares299

Combined PnL+$4.84

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares27

Combined PnL-$8.25

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$505.7	$500	+$0.3	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$250.69	$500	+$250.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$0.12	51% 3032-2944 (5976)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$49.68	$50.33	+$0.65	42% 1071-1482 (2553)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 79.2¢	$29.93	$32.57	+$2.64	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 91.3¢	$27.05	$19.11	-$3.19	50% 4163-4232 (8395)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 87.5¢	$17.85	$20.41	+$2.56	60% 3365-2262 (5627)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 69¢	$21.07	$21.77	+$0.7	54% 2104-1796 (3900)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 47¢	$3.85	$5.21	+$1.36	38% 1261-2069 (3330)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 30.8¢	$8.25	—	-$8.25	52% 4799-4479 (9278)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.7

Value

$500

PnL

+$0.3

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

Both legs:

Up$250.6950.1¢+$250.3

Down$25050¢-$250

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0.12

Record

51%

3032-2944 (5976)

Invested

$49.68

Value

$50.33

PnL

+$0.65

Record

42%

1071-1482 (2553)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$29.93

Value

$32.57

PnL

+$2.64

Record

51%

2869-2774 (5643)

Invested

$27.05

Value

$19.11

PnL

-$3.19

Record

50%

4163-4232 (8395)

Invested

$17.85

Value

$20.41

PnL

+$2.56

Record

60%

3365-2262 (5627)

Invested

$21.07

Value

$21.77

PnL

+$0.7

Record

54%

2104-1796 (3900)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

$5.21

PnL

+$1.36

Record

38%

1261-2069 (3330)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$8.25

Value

—

PnL

-$8.25

Record

52%

4799-4479 (9278)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xac4512c3...4838ba

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794641400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

13897651

Up — $50.33

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $32.57

asdcaxz

Up — $19.11

aaa221

Up — $20.41

ply-pm2

Up — $21.77

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $5.21

blue.birds

Down — $0

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