Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 91%
1 arb excluded
$770.45
$30.52
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $511.03 | $497.91 | -$1.24 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.9Β’ | $248.47 | $497.91 | +$249.91 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $251.56 | β | -$251.15 | |
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 99Β’ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 32% 925-1945 (2870) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 63.5Β’ | $42 | $44.86 | +$2.86 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 67.4Β’ | $38.41 | $42.42 | +$4.02 | 42% 1071-1482 (2553) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 57.7Β’ | $20.3 | $35.2 | +$14.9 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $21.98 | $22 | +$0.02 | 51% 1264-1206 (2470) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $5.92 | $9 | +$3.08 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $4.67 | $8.34 | +$3.67 | 45% 2465-2964 (5429) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 38% 1261-2069 (3330) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 46.6Β’ | $1.94 | $4.16 | +$2.22 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $0.83 | $1.56 | +$0.73 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $2.07 | β | -$2.07 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
Invested
$511.03
Value
$497.91
PnL
-$1.24
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
pspspsps5Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
32%
925-1945 (2870)
Invested
$42
Value
$44.86
PnL
+$2.86
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$38.41
Value
$42.42
PnL
+$4.02
Record
42%
1071-1482 (2553)
Invested
$20.3
Value
$35.2
PnL
+$14.9
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
Invested
$21.98
Value
$22
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1264-1206 (2470)
Invested
$5.92
Value
$9
PnL
+$3.08
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$8.34
PnL
+$3.67
Record
45%
2465-2964 (5429)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
38%
1261-2069 (3330)
Invested
$1.94
Value
$4.16
PnL
+$2.22
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
Invested
$0.83
Value
$1.56
PnL
+$0.73
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$2.07
Value
β
PnL
-$2.07
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

pspspsps5
Up β $100
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $44.86
13897651
Up β $42.42
soswald1
Up β $35.2
0x50f7
Up β $22
asdcaxz
Up β $9
suntori
Up β $8.34

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $5
aaa221
Up β $4.16