Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 56%
2 arb excluded
$816.55
-$216.62
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $543.88 | $492.09 | +$1.3 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47.7¢ | $234.62 | $492.09 | +$254.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.1¢ | $263.54 | — | -$253.35 | |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.4¢ | $93.17 | — | -$89.41 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $106.33 | $95.85 | -$10.48 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.6¢ | $46.62 | $95.85 | +$49.23 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 70¢ | $59.71 | — | -$59.71 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $75.8 | $81.5 | +$5.69 | 42% 1071-1482 (2553) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $68.3 | — | -$68.3 | 48% 1355-1450 (2805) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $52.95 | $51.38 | -$0.92 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $30.36 | — | -$25.86 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 13.8¢ | $2.88 | $20.83 | +$17.95 | 38% 1261-2069 (3330) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $19.8 | — | -$19.8 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.52 | $12 | +$9.48 | 47% 1893-2128 (4021) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $2.94 | $12 | +$9.06 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $11.85 | $16.4 | +$4.55 | 48% 1870-2057 (3927) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $9 | $18 | +$9 | 50% 1696-1707 (3403) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $10.97 | — | -$10.97 | 44% 1860-2404 (4264) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 52% 2416-2220 (4636) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.23 | $11.51 | +$11.28 | 32% 925-1945 (2870) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.9¢ | $40.78 | — | -$40.78 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $29.3 | — | -$29.3 | 71% 1442-587 (2029) |
Invested
$543.88
Value
$492.09
PnL
+$1.3
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
Invested
$93.17
Value
—
PnL
-$89.41
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
Invested
$106.33
Value
$95.85
PnL
-$10.48
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Both legs:
Invested
$75.8
Value
$81.5
PnL
+$5.69
Record
42%
1071-1482 (2553)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$68.3
Value
—
PnL
-$68.3
Record
48%
1355-1450 (2805)
Invested
$52.95
Value
$51.38
PnL
-$0.92
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
Invested
$30.36
Value
—
PnL
-$25.86
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
$20.83
PnL
+$17.95
Record
38%
1261-2069 (3330)
Invested
$19.8
Value
—
PnL
-$19.8
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
Invested
$2.52
Value
$12
PnL
+$9.48
Record
47%
1893-2128 (4021)
Invested
$2.94
Value
$12
PnL
+$9.06
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
ohioism<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$16.4
PnL
+$4.55
Record
48%
1870-2057 (3927)
Invested
$9
Value
$18
PnL
+$9
Record
50%
1696-1707 (3403)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
—
PnL
-$10.97
Record
44%
1860-2404 (4264)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
2416-2220 (4636)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.23
Value
$11.51
PnL
+$11.28
Record
32%
925-1945 (2870)
Invested
$40.78
Value
—
PnL
-$40.78
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$29.3
Value
—
PnL
-$29.3
Record
71%
1442-587 (2029)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Up — $81.5
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $51.38
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $20.83
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $12