Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$618.6
-$0.37
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$2.8 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$247.2 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $71.28 | $72 | +$0.72 | 98% 3242-69 (3311) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $15.5 | $18.27 | +$2.77 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $12.73 | $15 | +$2.27 | 42% 1071-1482 (2553) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $11.55 | — | -$11.55 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.66 | $6 | +$2.34 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.03 | $5.08 | +$3.05 | 49% 1236-1272 (2508) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $0.72 | $2.25 | +$1.53 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1244-2078 (3322) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.8
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.28
Value
$72
PnL
+$0.72
Record
98%
3242-69 (3311)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$18.27
PnL
+$2.77
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$12.73
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.27
Record
42%
1071-1482 (2553)
Invested
$11.55
Value
—
PnL
-$11.55
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.34
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
Invested
$2.03
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$3.05
Record
49%
1236-1272 (2508)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
Invested
$0.72
Value
$2.25
PnL
+$1.53
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1244-2078 (3322)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $72
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $18.27
13897651
Down — $15
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
Down — $6
mo-money
Down — $5.08
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $2.25
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0