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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$734.71

Combined PnL

$2.26

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$95.71

Total Shares96

Combined PnL+$7.1

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares46

Combined PnL-$4.84

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$504.12	$499	-$1.92	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$251.65	—	-$251.25
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.5	$499	+$249.33
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$140	-$6.05	51% 3032-2944 (5976)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$75	—	-$75
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$70	$140	+$68.95
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 72.8¢	$58.81	$49.54	-$9.27	50% 4163-4232 (8395)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 33.4¢	$7.61	$11.84	+$4.23	42% 1071-1482 (2553)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 94¢	$21.93	$23.33	+$1.4	54% 2104-1796 (3900)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 30.5¢	$3.66	$6	+$8.04	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 46¢	$2.3	$5	+$2.7	60% 3365-2262 (5627)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$0.11	—	-$0.11	52% 2416-2220 (4636)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 4.9¢	$0.78	—	-$0.78	52% 4799-4479 (9278)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 13.9¢	$3.95	—	-$3.95	38% 1261-2069 (3330)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.12

Value

$499

PnL

-$1.92

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

Both legs:

Down$251.6549.3¢-$251.25

Up$249.550¢+$249.33

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$140

PnL

-$6.05

Record

51%

3032-2944 (5976)

Both legs:

Down$7550¢-$75

Up$7050¢+$68.95

Invested

$58.81

Value

$49.54

PnL

-$9.27

Record

50%

4163-4232 (8395)

Invested

$7.61

Value

$11.84

PnL

+$4.23

Record

42%

1071-1482 (2553)

Invested

$21.93

Value

$23.33

PnL

+$1.4

Record

54%

2104-1796 (3900)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.66

Value

$6

PnL

+$8.04

Record

41%

1393-1983 (3376)

Invested

$2.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.7

Record

60%

3365-2262 (5627)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

52%

2416-2220 (4636)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

52%

4799-4479 (9278)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.95

Value

—

PnL

-$3.95

Record

38%

1261-2069 (3330)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x342e0b27...b82dd3

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794639300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $49.54

13897651

Up — $11.84

ply-pm2

Up — $23.33

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

aaa221

Up — $5

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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