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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Down 63%

Total Value

$212.58

Combined PnL

-$570.96

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 16 top traders (63%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares681
Combined PnL-$555.54
Up6 traders
Total Value$212.58
Total Shares213
Combined PnL-$15.42
Down — 63%Up — 37%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$524.5

Value

—

PnL

-$487.78

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$89

Value

$90

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

4145-4216 (8361)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$65.3

Value

$50.07

PnL

-$15.23

Record

51%

3014-2926 (5940)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$45.01

Value

$44.11

PnL

-$0.9

Record

42%

1063-1475 (2538)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$46.19

Value

—

PnL

-$46.19

Record

54%

2087-1785 (3872)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$17.35

Value

$12.7

PnL

-$4.65

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$8.64

Value

$12

PnL

+$3.36

Record

41%

1381-1964 (3345)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

60%

3347-2246 (5593)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.28

Value

—

PnL

-$2.28

Record

32%

922-1922 (2844)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$2.7

Value

$3.7

PnL

+$1

Record

48%

1344-1445 (2789)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

38%

1254-2047 (3301)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

52%

2405-2202 (4607)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.14

Value

—

PnL

-$4.14

Record

38%

1240-2064 (3304)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.45

Value

—

PnL

-$3.45

Record

48%

1860-2039 (3899)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

47%

1885-2113 (3998)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.65

Value

—

PnL

-$1.65

Record

47%

1925-2172 (4097)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1f4a7fa5...112034
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794638100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$487.78
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $90

+$1
SO

soswald1

Up — $50.07

-$15.23
13

13897651

Up — $44.11

-$0.9
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$46.19
BL

blue.birds

Up — $12.7

-$4.65
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

+$3.36
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.5

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.28

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $3.7

+$1
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