Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 91%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
$153.58
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $508.95 | $500 | +$7.05 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$8.25 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $60 | — | -$66.75 | |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $94.71 | $104.3 | +$9.59 | 32% 922-1922 (2844) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 71¢ | $142 | $200 | +$58 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 68¢ | $68 | $100 | +$32 | 49% 1227-1262 (2489) |
BO bosona | Downavg 68¢ | $68 | $100 | +$32 | 51% 4479-4365 (8844) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $29.49 | $35.51 | +$6.02 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $24.37 | $34.81 | +$10.44 | 50% 1236-1242 (2478) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $17.6 | $20 | +$2.4 | 42% 1063-1475 (2538) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 51% 1257-1197 (2454) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $14.41 | $14.7 | +$0.29 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $15.73 | — | -$4.23 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
Invested
$508.95
Value
$500
PnL
+$7.05
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$8.25
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Both legs:
pspspsps5Invested
$94.71
Value
$104.3
PnL
+$9.59
Record
32%
922-1922 (2844)
Invested
$142
Value
$200
PnL
+$58
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$68
Value
$100
PnL
+$32
Record
49%
1227-1262 (2489)
Invested
$68
Value
$100
PnL
+$32
Record
51%
4479-4365 (8844)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$29.49
Value
$35.51
PnL
+$6.02
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
Invested
$24.37
Value
$34.81
PnL
+$10.44
Record
50%
1236-1242 (2478)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.4
Record
42%
1063-1475 (2538)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1257-1197 (2454)
Invested
$14.41
Value
$14.7
PnL
+$0.29
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$15.73
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)