Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 73%
$128.95
-$513.32
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.4¢ | $518.64 | — | -$500.11 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $79.65 | $73.16 | -$6.49 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $27.46 | $30.79 | +$3.33 | 42% 1063-1475 (2538) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 43.2¢ | $10.8 | $25 | +$14.2 | 52% 4780-4466 (9246) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 48% 1860-2039 (3899) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $6.4 | — | -$5.8 | 60% 3347-2246 (5593) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 32% 922-1922 (2844) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 44% 1849-2382 (4231) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.6¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
Invested
$518.64
Value
—
PnL
-$500.11
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Invested
$79.65
Value
$73.16
PnL
-$6.49
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$27.46
Value
$30.79
PnL
+$3.33
Record
42%
1063-1475 (2538)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$25
PnL
+$14.2
Record
52%
4780-4466 (9246)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
48%
1860-2039 (3899)
Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.8
Record
60%
3347-2246 (5593)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
32%
922-1922 (2844)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
44%
1849-2382 (4231)
Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)