Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$12.16
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $518.11 | $490.76 | +$11.26 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.8¢ | $239.58 | $490.76 | +$253.52 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $244.57 | — | -$242.25 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 48.9¢ | $161.64 | $235.18 | +$73.54 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $95 | -$15.31 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 93.4¢ | $74.12 | $79.32 | +$5.2 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $52.78 | $58.05 | +$5.27 | 48% 1344-1445 (2789) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $50.54 | $51.7 | +$1.16 | 42% 1063-1475 (2538) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $57.01 | — | -$53.91 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.9¢ | $56.62 | — | -$34.57 | 52% 4780-4466 (9246) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $9.1 | $10 | +$0.9 | 52% 2405-2202 (4607) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | $5 | +$3.65 | 71% 1440-584 (2024) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 48% 1860-2039 (3899) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $0.74 | — | -$0.74 | 38% 1240-2064 (3304) |
Invested
$518.11
Value
$490.76
PnL
+$11.26
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$161.64
Value
$235.18
PnL
+$73.54
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$150
Value
$95
PnL
-$15.31
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Invested
$74.12
Value
$79.32
PnL
+$5.2
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$52.78
Value
$58.05
PnL
+$5.27
Record
48%
1344-1445 (2789)
Invested
$50.54
Value
$51.7
PnL
+$1.16
Record
42%
1063-1475 (2538)
Invested
$57.01
Value
—
PnL
-$53.91
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
Invested
$56.62
Value
—
PnL
-$34.57
Record
52%
4780-4466 (9246)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.9
Record
52%
2405-2202 (4607)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.65
Record
71%
1440-584 (2024)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
48%
1860-2039 (3899)
Invested
$0.74
Value
—
PnL
-$0.74
Record
38%
1240-2064 (3304)