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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 42%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$671.96

Combined PnL

-$238.45

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares384

Combined PnL-$266.32

Up5 traders

Total Value$174.13

Total Shares174

Combined PnL+$27.86

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$507.19	$497.82	-$1.37	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$247.18	$497.82	+$250.27
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$252.53	—	-$251.64
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 50¢	$152.7	—	-$138.04	51% 3014-2926 (5940)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.1¢	$107.8	$109.87	+$2.07	98% 3197-68 (3265)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$34.8	—	-$34.8	42% 1063-1475 (2538)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 58.9¢	$25.54	$30.17	+$4.63	50% 4145-4216 (8361)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 23.1¢	$50.15	—	-$38.76	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$35.4	—	-$35.4	54% 2087-1785 (3872)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 59.7¢	$19.17	$17.38	+$10.82	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 49¢	$4.76	$9.71	+$4.95	50% 1684-1697 (3381)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.61	$7	+$5.39	48% 1344-1445 (2789)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 77¢	$3.35	—	-$3.35	60% 3347-2246 (5593)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$9.36	—	-$9.36	47% 1885-2113 (3998)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$6.61	—	-$6.61	38% 1254-2047 (3301)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$507.19

Value

$497.82

PnL

-$1.37

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

Both legs:

Up$247.1849.7¢+$250.27

Down$252.5350.1¢-$251.64

Invested

$152.7

Value

—

PnL

-$138.04

Record

51%

3014-2926 (5940)

Invested

$107.8

Value

$109.87

PnL

+$2.07

Record

98%

3197-68 (3265)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$34.8

Value

—

PnL

-$34.8

Record

42%

1063-1475 (2538)

Invested

$25.54

Value

$30.17

PnL

+$4.63

Record

50%

4145-4216 (8361)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$50.15

Value

—

PnL

-$38.76

Record

51%

2841-2744 (5585)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$35.4

Value

—

PnL

-$35.4

Record

54%

2087-1785 (3872)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$19.17

Value

$17.38

PnL

+$10.82

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$4.76

Value

$9.71

PnL

+$4.95

Record

50%

1684-1697 (3381)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$1.61

Value

$7

PnL

+$5.39

Record

48%

1344-1445 (2789)

Invested

$3.35

Value

—

PnL

-$3.35

Record

60%

3347-2246 (5593)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$9.36

Value

—

PnL

-$9.36

Record

47%

1885-2113 (3998)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$6.61

Value

—

PnL

-$6.61

Record

38%

1254-2047 (3301)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc61cc4cb...1e813b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794635400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $109.87

13897651

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Up — $30.17

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

blue.birds

Up — $17.38

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $9.71

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $7

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