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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$916.91

Combined PnL

-$16.88

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$243.47

Total Shares243

Combined PnL-$4.73

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares113

Combined PnL-$12.15

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.3¢	$504.56	$503.44	+$2.28	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$253.07	$503.44	+$250.59
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$248.21	—	-$248.31
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$172.61	$174.44	+$1.83	98% 3197-68 (3265)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$126	-$5.13	51% 3014-2926 (5940)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$75	—	-$75
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$63	$126	+$69.87
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 76.2¢	$49.5	$44	-$5.5	54% 2087-1785 (3872)
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.2¢	$33.52	$44	+$10.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 39¢	$15.98	—	-$15.98
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 99¢	$34.86	$30.74	-$4.03	38% 1254-2047 (3301)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 83¢	$10.9	$9	-$1.9	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$1	—	-$1	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 84.7¢	$29.93	$29.29	-$0.64	42% 1063-1475 (2538)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 9.1¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	32% 922-1922 (2844)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$3.6	—	-$3.6	48% 1860-2039 (3899)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 25¢	$5	—	-$5	50% 4145-4216 (8361)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.56

Value

$503.44

PnL

+$2.28

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

Both legs:

Up$253.0750.3¢+$250.59

Down$248.2149.9¢-$248.31

Invested

$172.61

Value

$174.44

PnL

+$1.83

Record

98%

3197-68 (3265)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$126

PnL

-$5.13

Record

51%

3014-2926 (5940)

Both legs:

Down$7550¢-$75

Up$6350¢+$69.87

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$49.5

Value

$44

PnL

-$5.5

Record

54%

2087-1785 (3872)

Both legs:

Up$33.5276.2¢+$10.48

Down$15.9839¢-$15.98

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$34.86

Value

$30.74

PnL

-$4.03

Record

38%

1254-2047 (3301)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$10.9

Value

$9

PnL

-$1.9

Record

51%

2841-2744 (5585)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

Invested

$29.93

Value

$29.29

PnL

-$0.64

Record

42%

1063-1475 (2538)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

32%

922-1922 (2844)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$3.6

Value

—

PnL

-$3.6

Record

48%

1860-2039 (3899)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

50%

4145-4216 (8361)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xebe2fc41...d47be8

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794635100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $174.44

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $30.74

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $9

blue.birds

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $29.29

pspspsps5

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

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