Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$927.17
$20.04
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.4¢ | $507.69 | $498.64 | +$2.94 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $248.86 | $498.64 | +$251.64 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $249.3 | — | -$248.7 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.7¢ | $283.28 | $290 | +$6.72 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $20.75 | $30.43 | +$9.68 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $23.37 | $26.7 | +$3.33 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $17.99 | $21.28 | +$3.29 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $20.51 | $20 | -$0.51 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $18.55 | $15 | -$3.55 | 42% 1063-1475 (2538) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $12.06 | $15 | +$2.94 | 44% 1849-2382 (4231) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $13.81 | $10.1 | +$1.39 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 52% 4780-4466 (9246) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
Invested
$507.69
Value
$498.64
PnL
+$2.94
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$283.28
Value
$290
PnL
+$6.72
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$20.75
Value
$30.43
PnL
+$9.68
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Invested
$23.37
Value
$26.7
PnL
+$3.33
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.99
Value
$21.28
PnL
+$3.29
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
Invested
$20.51
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.51
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
Invested
$18.55
Value
$15
PnL
-$3.55
Record
42%
1063-1475 (2538)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.06
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.94
Record
44%
1849-2382 (4231)
Invested
$13.81
Value
$10.1
PnL
+$1.39
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
52%
4780-4466 (9246)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $290
soswald1
Down — $30.43
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $26.7
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $21.28
asdcaxz
Down — $20
13897651
Down — $15
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $15
ply-pm2
Down — $10.1
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0