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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 27%

Total Value

$188.4

Combined PnL

-$492.47

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares509
Combined PnL-$495.28
Up8 traders
Total Value$188.4
Total Shares188
Combined PnL+$2.81
Down — 27%Up — 73%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500.11

Value

—

PnL

-$493.66

Record

55%

3034-2491 (5525)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$79.53

Value

$79

PnL

-$0.44

Record

38%

1240-1996 (3236)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$35.53

Value

$35.18

PnL

-$0.36

Record

51%

2812-2714 (5526)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$25.05

Value

$25

PnL

-$0.05

Record

42%

1045-1461 (2506)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$14.55

Value

$20.14

PnL

+$5.59

Record

51%

2976-2895 (5871)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$11.83

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.17

Record

41%

1336-1928 (3264)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$13.3

Value

$10

PnL

-$3.3

Record

49%

4099-4182 (8281)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$4.05

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.95

Record

52%

4742-4430 (9172)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

48%

1324-1417 (2741)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.84

Value

$2.09

PnL

+$0.25

Record

63%

3717-2213 (5930)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

33%

909-1883 (2792)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x3717544e...dd2431
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794630900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$493.66

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $79

-$0.44
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $35.18

-$0.36
13

13897651

Up — $25

-$0.05
SO

soswald1

Up — $20.14

+$5.59
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

+$0.17
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $10

-$3.3
BL

blue.birds

Up — $5

+$0.95

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.54
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2.09

+$0.25
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