Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Up 55%
$180.05
-$529.74
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $505.25 | — | -$494.3 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $135 | +$1.76 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $19.64 | — | -$19.64 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 64.2¢ | $15.92 | $22 | +$7.41 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $13.24 | $12 | -$1.24 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.4¢ | $13.28 | — | -$13.28 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $5.34 | $6.05 | +$0.71 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $5.81 | — | -$5.81 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
Invested
$505.25
Value
—
PnL
-$494.3
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$150
Value
$135
PnL
+$1.76
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$19.64
Value
—
PnL
-$19.64
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$15.92
Value
$22
PnL
+$7.41
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$13.24
Value
$12
PnL
-$1.24
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
Invested
$13.28
Value
—
PnL
-$13.28
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.05
PnL
+$0.71
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.81
Value
—
PnL
-$5.81
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)