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DownUpUpDownUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100Down
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$542.97
Combined PnL
-$26.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$52.97
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$0.75
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares102
Combined PnL-$25.26
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $502.6 | $490 | -$6 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $252.6 | — | -$252.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$246.6 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $36.11 | $36.31 | +$0.2 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 72.1¢ | $25.45 | $14.66 | -$1.55 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.7¢ | $19.61 | — | -$19.61 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $1.4 | $2 | +$0.6 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 33% 909-1883 (2792) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.2¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$502.6
Value
$490
PnL
-$6
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Down$252.650¢-$252.6
Up$24550¢+$246.6
13
13897651<$100Invested
$36.11
Value
$36.31
PnL
+$0.2
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$25.45
Value
$14.66
PnL
-$1.55
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$19.61
Value
—
PnL
-$19.61
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.6
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
33%
909-1883 (2792)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1cb2f1e3...40d36e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794629700