Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Up 36%
$183.94
-$500.67
Smart Money Signal
5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.8¢ | $509.15 | — | -$491.33 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $112.2 | $114 | +$1.8 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $18.1 | $20 | +$1.9 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $19.5 | — | -$11.9 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $5.1 | $10.32 | +$5.22 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $12.14 | $10 | -$2.14 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $17.51 | $9.37 | -$0.35 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $7.21 | $7.43 | +$0.22 | 64% 2208-1239 (3447) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.25 | $5.12 | +$0.87 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $7.35 | $2.7 | -$0.4 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.1¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $1.62 | — | -$1.62 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1¢ | $0.34 | — | -$0.34 | 33% 909-1883 (2792) |
Invested
$509.15
Value
—
PnL
-$491.33
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$112.2
Value
$114
PnL
+$1.8
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$18.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.9
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$19.5
Value
—
PnL
-$11.9
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
Invested
$5.1
Value
$10.32
PnL
+$5.22
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$12.14
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.14
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
Invested
$17.51
Value
$9.37
PnL
-$0.35
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$7.21
Value
$7.43
PnL
+$0.22
Record
64%
2208-1239 (3447)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$0.87
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$7.35
Value
$2.7
PnL
-$0.4
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.34
Value
—
PnL
-$0.34
Record
33%
909-1883 (2792)