Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Up 40%
$73.01
-$516.3
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $509.44 | — | -$497.64 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $25.32 | $20 | -$5.32 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $17.67 | $19 | +$1.33 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.4¢ | $14.18 | — | -$14.18 | 49% 1087-1154 (2241) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 51% 1235-1184 (2419) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $5.95 | $10 | +$4.05 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $4.95 | $5.01 | +$0.06 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $3.62 | $4 | +$0.38 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
Invested
$509.44
Value
—
PnL
-$497.64
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$25.32
Value
$20
PnL
-$5.32
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.67
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.33
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$14.18
Value
—
PnL
-$14.18
Record
49%
1087-1154 (2241)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1235-1184 (2419)
Invested
$5.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.05
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.06
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
Invested
$3.62
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.38
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)