Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 70%
4 arb excluded
$894.79
-$1.51
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $514.07 | $495 | +$2.7 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $250.88 | $495 | +$248.25 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.6Β’ | $243.13 | β | -$245.55 | |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Upavg 47.1Β’ | $94.25 | $106.74 | +$12.49 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 47.1Β’ | $50.25 | $106.74 | +$56.49 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 29.1Β’ | $44 | β | -$44 | |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $150 | $105 | -$14.71 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $52.5 | $105 | +$48.4 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $59.25 | β | -$63.11 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 30.9Β’ | $98.6 | $63.19 | -$35.41 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 51.6Β’ | $32.59 | $63.19 | +$30.6 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 30.9Β’ | $66.01 | β | -$66.01 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 52.7Β’ | $51.41 | $56.59 | +$5.18 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 53.6Β’ | $26.45 | $25 | -$1.45 | 42% 1045-1461 (2506) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $14.34 | $13 | -$1.34 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 77.9Β’ | $10.82 | $11.27 | +$1.47 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $8.91 | $9 | +$0.09 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 65Β’ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 71% 1422-567 (1989) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | β | -$2.45 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $3.2 | β | -$3.2 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $1.86 | β | -$1.86 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
Invested
$514.07
Value
$495
PnL
+$2.7
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$94.25
Value
$106.74
PnL
+$12.49
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$105
PnL
-$14.71
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Both legs:
Invested
$98.6
Value
$63.19
PnL
-$35.41
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.41
Value
$56.59
PnL
+$5.18
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$26.45
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.45
Record
42%
1045-1461 (2506)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$14.34
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.34
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
Invested
$10.82
Value
$11.27
PnL
+$1.47
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.09
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
71%
1422-567 (1989)
Invested
$2.45
Value
β
PnL
-$2.45
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
β
PnL
-$3.2
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$1.86
Value
β
PnL
-$1.86
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
asdcaxz
Up β $56.59
13897651
Up β $25

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $13
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $11.27
asdaefef
Up β $9

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $5