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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$814.33

Combined PnL

-$4

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$166.26

Total Shares166

Combined PnL+$17.61

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares26

Combined PnL-$21.61

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$515.62	$499	-$4.69	55% 3034-2491 (5525)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$255.41	—	-$254.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.7	$499	+$249.71
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$149.07	-$0.7	51% 2976-2895 (5871)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$75	—	-$75
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$74.54	$149.07	+$74.3
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$85.35	$85.44	+$0.09	51% 1235-1184 (2419)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 39.6¢	$14.04	$21.81	+$7.77	42% 1045-1461 (2506)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 95¢	$21.92	$20	-$0.92	38% 1240-1996 (3236)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 47.7¢	$9.95	$15	+$5.05	49% 4099-4182 (8281)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 91¢	$9.1	$10	+$0.9	60% 3298-2213 (5511)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82.3¢	$7.8	$8.02	+$0.23	63% 3717-2213 (5930)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$14.16	—	-$13.16	52% 4742-4430 (9172)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 25¢	$1.5	$6	+$4.5	41% 1336-1928 (3264)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$0.81	—	-$0.81	54% 2059-1752 (3811)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	33% 909-1883 (2792)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 75¢	$3.8	—	-$3.8	64% 2208-1239 (3447)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 76¢	$3.8	—	-$3.8	67% 3145-1560 (4705)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$515.62

Value

$499

PnL

-$4.69

Record

55%

3034-2491 (5525)

Both legs:

Down$255.4150.1¢-$254.4

Up$249.750¢+$249.71

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$149.07

PnL

-$0.7

Record

51%

2976-2895 (5871)

Both legs:

Down$7550¢-$75

Up$74.5450¢+$74.3

Invested

$85.35

Value

$85.44

PnL

+$0.09

Record

51%

1235-1184 (2419)

Invested

$14.04

Value

$21.81

PnL

+$7.77

Record

42%

1045-1461 (2506)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$21.92

Value

$20

PnL

-$0.92

Record

38%

1240-1996 (3236)

Invested

$9.95

Value

$15

PnL

+$5.05

Record

49%

4099-4182 (8281)

Invested

$9.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.9

Record

60%

3298-2213 (5511)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.8

Value

$8.02

PnL

+$0.23

Record

63%

3717-2213 (5930)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$14.16

Value

—

PnL

-$13.16

Record

52%

4742-4430 (9172)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.5

Record

41%

1336-1928 (3264)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$0.81

Value

—

PnL

-$0.81

Record

54%

2059-1752 (3811)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

33%

909-1883 (2792)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

64%

2208-1239 (3447)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

67%

3145-1560 (4705)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8a354bc2...12a939

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794627900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Up — $85.44

13897651

Up — $21.81

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $20

asdcaxz

Up — $15

aaa221

Up — $10

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8.02

blue.birds

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

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