Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 62%
1 arb excluded
$769.27
-$159.32
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $511.05 | $500 | -$1.2 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $248.43 | — | -$250.2 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $252.6 | $500 | +$249 | |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | — | -$150 | 51% 2954-2869 (5823) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $82.18 | $84.61 | +$2.42 | 54% 2039-1735 (3774) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $52.78 | $57.39 | +$4.61 | 32% 897-1866 (2763) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $45.68 | $46 | +$0.32 | 50% 4078-4158 (8236) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $20.55 | — | -$20.55 | 48% 1309-1403 (2712) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $30.43 | $38.08 | +$7.65 | 38% 1221-1978 (3199) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $23.97 | $25 | +$1.03 | 42% 1035-1453 (2488) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $7.68 | $11.13 | +$3.45 | 60% 3273-2196 (5469) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.3¢ | $3.42 | — | -$3.42 | 47% 1867-2116 (3983) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 52% 2361-2151 (4512) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 49% 1074-1140 (2214) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $1.46 | $2.06 | +$0.6 | 63% 3684-2190 (5874) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.6¢ | $3.92 | — | -$3.92 | 52% 4724-4405 (9129) |
Invested
$511.05
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.2
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
—
PnL
-$150
Record
51%
2954-2869 (5823)
Invested
$82.18
Value
$84.61
PnL
+$2.42
Record
54%
2039-1735 (3774)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$52.78
Value
$57.39
PnL
+$4.61
Record
32%
897-1866 (2763)
Invested
$45.68
Value
$46
PnL
+$0.32
Record
50%
4078-4158 (8236)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$20.55
Value
—
PnL
-$20.55
Record
48%
1309-1403 (2712)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$30.43
Value
$38.08
PnL
+$7.65
Record
38%
1221-1978 (3199)
Invested
$23.97
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.03
Record
42%
1035-1453 (2488)
Invested
$7.68
Value
$11.13
PnL
+$3.45
Record
60%
3273-2196 (5469)
Invested
$3.42
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
47%
1867-2116 (3983)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
2361-2151 (4512)
Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
49%
1074-1140 (2214)
Invested
$1.46
Value
$2.06
PnL
+$0.6
Record
63%
3684-2190 (5874)
Invested
$3.92
Value
—
PnL
-$3.92
Record
52%
4724-4405 (9129)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $84.61
pspspsps5
Down — $57.39
asdcaxz
Down — $46
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $38.08
13897651
Down — $25
aaa221
Down — $11.13
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0