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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 82%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$811.22

Combined PnL

-$8.66

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$661.22

Total Shares661

Combined PnL+$16.86

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares67

Combined PnL-$25.52

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.3¢	$521.46	$505.25	+$2.16	55% 2993-2461 (5454)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$10.15	51% 2954-2869 (5823)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$65	—	-$64.85
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$75	$150	+$75
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 94.6¢	$41.52	$43.67	+$2.15	38% 1221-1978 (3199)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 57.8¢	$30.16	$29.59	-$0.56	42% 1035-1453 (2488)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 35.5¢	$30.19	—	-$22.59	50% 4078-4158 (8236)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 76.7¢	$26.58	$24.64	-$1.94	60% 3273-2196 (5469)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 12.1¢	$2.93	—	-$2.93	48% 1309-1403 (2712)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 76¢	$22.08	$28.88	+$6.79	54% 2039-1735 (3774)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 66.1¢	$6.71	$7.07	+$0.51	63% 3684-2190 (5874)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 96¢	$5.17	$5	-$0.17	32% 897-1866 (2763)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 39.6¢	$4.8	$12.13	+$7.33	47% 1827-2050 (3877)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 88¢	$4.4	$5	+$0.6	67% 3113-1544 (4657)

Invested

$521.46

Value

$505.25

PnL

+$2.16

Record

55%

2993-2461 (5454)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$10.15

Record

51%

2954-2869 (5823)

Both legs:

Down$6550¢-$64.85

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$41.52

Value

$43.67

PnL

+$2.15

Record

38%

1221-1978 (3199)

Invested

$30.16

Value

$29.59

PnL

-$0.56

Record

42%

1035-1453 (2488)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$30.19

Value

—

PnL

-$22.59

Record

50%

4078-4158 (8236)

Invested

$26.58

Value

$24.64

PnL

-$1.94

Record

60%

3273-2196 (5469)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$2.93

Value

—

PnL

-$2.93

Record

48%

1309-1403 (2712)

Invested

$22.08

Value

$28.88

PnL

+$6.79

Record

54%

2039-1735 (3774)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.71

Value

$7.07

PnL

+$0.51

Record

63%

3684-2190 (5874)

Invested

$5.17

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.17

Record

32%

897-1866 (2763)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$12.13

PnL

+$7.33

Record

47%

1827-2050 (3877)

Invested

$4.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.6

Record

67%

3113-1544 (4657)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x37592c72...c97d8d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794624300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $505.25

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $43.67

13897651

Up — $29.59

asdcaxz

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $24.64

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $28.88

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7.07

pspspsps5

Up — $5

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