Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Up 35%
$652.91
-$250.24
Smart Money Signal
7 of 20 top traders (35%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.1¢ | $512.81 | — | -$493 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $100.04 | $280.4 | +$180.36 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 8.2¢ | $9.88 | $120.36 | +$110.49 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $65 | $79.42 | +$14.42 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 74.6¢ | $70.7 | — | -$70.7 | 41% 966-1381 (2347) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $46.53 | $47 | +$0.47 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 70.2¢ | $26.22 | — | -$26.22 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 82.8¢ | $20.18 | — | -$20.18 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 37.5¢ | $35.15 | $50 | +$14.85 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $13.88 | $16.11 | +$2.23 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 7.2¢ | $1.04 | $14.41 | +$13.37 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.43 | $11 | +$9.57 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 55% 1559-1298 (2857) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.77 | $11 | +$10.23 | 47% 1691-1909 (3600) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $9.51 | — | -$6.73 | 38% 1131-1839 (2970) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $0.75 | $5 | +$4.25 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.4 | $5 | +$3.6 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.23 | $1.23 | +$1 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 3.9¢ | $0.46 | $11.98 | +$11.51 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
Invested
$512.81
Value
—
PnL
-$493
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$100.04
Value
$280.4
PnL
+$180.36
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$9.88
Value
$120.36
PnL
+$110.49
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
Invested
$65
Value
$79.42
PnL
+$14.42
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$70.7
Value
—
PnL
-$70.7
Record
41%
966-1381 (2347)
Invested
$46.53
Value
$47
PnL
+$0.47
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
Invested
$26.22
Value
—
PnL
-$26.22
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$20.18
Value
—
PnL
-$20.18
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
Invested
$35.15
Value
$50
PnL
+$14.85
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$13.88
Value
$16.11
PnL
+$2.23
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$14.41
PnL
+$13.37
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.43
Value
$11
PnL
+$9.57
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
55%
1559-1298 (2857)
Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$0.77
Value
$11
PnL
+$10.23
Record
47%
1691-1909 (3600)
Invested
$9.51
Value
—
PnL
-$6.73
Record
38%
1131-1839 (2970)
Invested
$0.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.25
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.6
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
Invested
$0.23
Value
$1.23
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
$11.98
PnL
+$11.51
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $280.4
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $120.36
soswald1
Down — $79.42
13897651
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $47
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $16.11