Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 27%
$664.16
-$725.36
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$719.48 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 94.4¢ | $85.77 | $78.27 | -$7.5 | 41% 966-1381 (2347) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $46.18 | $46.03 | -$0.16 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $24.91 | $26.22 | +$1.31 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $0.86 | — | -$0.86 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 55% 1559-1298 (2857) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 99.7¢ | $1.64 | $1.64 | +$0 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $1.7 | $2 | +$0.3 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$719.48
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$85.77
Value
$78.27
PnL
-$7.5
Record
41%
966-1381 (2347)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$46.18
Value
$46.03
PnL
-$0.16
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Invested
$24.91
Value
$26.22
PnL
+$1.31
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$0.86
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
55%
1559-1298 (2857)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
$1.64
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
Invested
$1.7
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.3
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)