Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
-$8.01
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $743.84 | +$5.53 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $506.22 | $495 | +$1.65 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.65 | $495 | +$249.65 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $248.6 | — | -$248 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $54.83 | $73.48 | +$18.64 | 41% 966-1381 (2347) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $24.6 | $20 | -$4.6 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $18.16 | $19.87 | +$1.71 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $20.87 | $19 | -$1.87 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $25.95 | — | -$21.75 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 72.5¢ | $7.25 | $10 | +$2.75 | 55% 1559-1298 (2857) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $3.92 | $4.04 | +$0.12 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
Invested
$750
Value
$743.84
PnL
+$5.53
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$506.22
Value
$495
PnL
+$1.65
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.83
Value
$73.48
PnL
+$18.64
Record
41%
966-1381 (2347)
Invested
$24.6
Value
$20
PnL
-$4.6
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.16
Value
$19.87
PnL
+$1.71
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Invested
$20.87
Value
$19
PnL
-$1.87
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$25.95
Value
—
PnL
-$21.75
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$7.25
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.75
Record
55%
1559-1298 (2857)
Invested
$3.92
Value
$4.04
PnL
+$0.12
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $743.84
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $73.48
blue.birds
Down — $20
pspspsps5
Down — $19.87
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $19
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $4.04
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0