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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 62%

Total Value

$138.03

Combined PnL

-$538.27

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares658
Combined PnL-$554.89
Up5 traders
Total Value$138.03
Total Shares138
Combined PnL+$16.62
Down — 62%Up — 38%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$510.27

Value

—

PnL

-$490.99

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$52.5

Value

$60.29

PnL

+$7.79

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$29.8

Value

$40.69

PnL

+$10.89

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$23.1

Value

$20

PnL

-$3.1

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.19

Value

—

PnL

-$22.19

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.03

Value

—

PnL

-$23.03

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$11.1

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.9

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.39

Value

—

PnL

-$11.39

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.9

Value

—

PnL

-$3.9

Record

47%

1726-1951 (3677)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

48%

1683-1811 (3494)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

1131-1839 (2970)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x39ac1a03...36280c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794593700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$490.99
13

13897651

Up — $60.29

+$7.79
BL

blue.birds

Up — $40.69

+$10.89
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $20

-$3.1
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.19
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.03
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $12

+$0.9
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.39
AS

asdaefef

Up — $5.05

+$0.15
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.9
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