Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 55%
1 arb excluded
$765.9
-$4.14
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $511.28 | $495 | -$2.65 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $252.69 | β | -$251.3 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $246.13 | $495 | +$248.65 | |
13 13897651 | Downavg 80.2Β’ | $101.47 | $109.49 | +$8.01 | 41% 966-1381 (2347) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 51.4Β’ | $42.87 | $59.31 | +$16.44 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 53.2Β’ | $33.03 | $43 | +$9.97 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 62.6Β’ | $26.23 | $31.8 | +$7.31 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 82.6Β’ | $36.96 | $25 | -$1.72 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.7Β’ | $22.62 | β | -$17.82 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $5.45 | β | -$5.45 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $2.28 | $2.3 | +$0.02 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5Β’ | $14.2 | β | -$14.2 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.9Β’ | $1.26 | β | -$1.26 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3Β’ | $4.81 | β | -$5.45 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
Invested
$511.28
Value
$495
PnL
-$2.65
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Invested
$101.47
Value
$109.49
PnL
+$8.01
Record
41%
966-1381 (2347)
Invested
$42.87
Value
$59.31
PnL
+$16.44
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$33.03
Value
$43
PnL
+$9.97
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$26.23
Value
$31.8
PnL
+$7.31
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$36.96
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.72
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$22.62
Value
β
PnL
-$17.82
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$5.45
Value
β
PnL
-$5.45
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$2.28
Value
$2.3
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
Invested
$14.2
Value
β
PnL
-$14.2
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$1.26
Value
β
PnL
-$1.26
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$4.81
Value
β
PnL
-$5.45
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
Down β $109.49
ply-pm2
Down β $59.31
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $43
soswald1
Down β $31.8
blue.birds
Down β $25
asdcaxz
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $2.3
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0