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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 75%

Total Value

$107.62

Combined PnL

-$509.5

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares622
Combined PnL-$510.78
Up3 traders
Total Value$107.62
Total Shares108
Combined PnL+$1.28
Down — 75%Up — 25%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$506.01

Value

—

PnL

-$492

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$64.45

Value

$65.1

PnL

+$0.65

Record

72%

1328-513 (1841)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$30.99

Value

$32.52

PnL

+$1.53

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$10.9

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.9

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.25

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.83

Value

—

PnL

-$1.83

Record

32%

829-1726 (2555)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

1131-1839 (2970)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.7

Value

—

PnL

-$4.7

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.71

Value

—

PnL

-$3.35

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x3824f6dc...e7cf9d
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794593100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$492

BoneOhio

Up — $65.1

+$0.65
13

13897651

Up — $32.52

+$1.53
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $10

-$0.9
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.55
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.25
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.8
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.25

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.83
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.05
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