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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 38%

Total Value

$737.42

Combined PnL

-$738.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares846
Combined PnL-$767.01
Down8 traders
Total Value$737.42
Total Shares737
Combined PnL+$28.63
Up — 38%Down — 62%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$751.75

Value

—

PnL

-$742.52

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$509.67

Value

$500.35

PnL

+$3.95

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

13
13897651
Down

Invested

$98.44

Value

$104.22

PnL

+$5.78

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$64.75

Value

$58.14

PnL

-$6.61

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$32.14

Value

$46.45

PnL

+$14.31

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$30.54

Value

$17.87

PnL

+$7.7

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$16.32

Value

—

PnL

-$16.32

Record

49%

1538-1576 (3114)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$13.06

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.84

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$2.14

Value

$3.35

PnL

+$1.21

Record

60%

3075-2056 (5131)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

32%

829-1726 (2555)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$5.52

Value

$1.02

PnL

+$0.45

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.33

Value

—

PnL

-$5.33

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x081bd7a4...1748fc
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794592800

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$742.52
BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $500.35

+$3.95
13

13897651

Down — $104.22

+$5.78
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $58.14

-$6.61
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $46.45

+$14.31
BL

blue.birds

Down — $17.87

+$7.7
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$16.32
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $6

+$1.84
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.08
AA

aaa221

Down — $3.35

+$1.21
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