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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 50%

Total Value

$57.65

Combined PnL

-$522.92

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares564
Combined PnL-$506.21
Down6 traders
Total Value$57.65
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$16.7
Up — 50%Down — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$490.4

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$26.11

Value

$13.37

PnL

-$12.74

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$13.7

Value

$11.25

PnL

-$2.45

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.75

Value

—

PnL

-$9.75

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$9.55

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.45

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$10.1

Value

$9

PnL

-$1.1

Record

64%

2024-1152 (3176)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$10.01

Value

$9

PnL

-$1.01

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.89

Value

$5.03

PnL

+$0.14

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

48%

1198-1305 (2503)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

50%

1135-1122 (2257)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.48

Value

—

PnL

-$2.48

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x64599c7e...5de9af
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794591900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$490.4
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $13.37

-$12.74
13

13897651

Down — $11.25

-$2.45
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$9.75
BL

blue.birds

Down — $10

+$0.45
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $9

-$1.1
AS

asdaefef

Down — $9

-$1.01
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5.03

+$0.14
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.1

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.4
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