Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 89%
5 arb excluded
$2.2K
$87.4
Smart Money Signal
16 of 18 top traders (89%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $750 | $745 | +$10.69 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $359 | β | -$362.86 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $372.5 | $745 | +$373.55 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 51.3Β’ | $527.24 | $499.18 | +$10.06 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $246.78 | β | -$247.76 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 51.3Β’ | $255.89 | $499.18 | +$257.83 | |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 99Β’ | $419.32 | $423.71 | +$4.39 | 72% 1328-513 (1841) |
![]() pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Upavg 95.1Β’ | $81.51 | $84.3 | +$2.79 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.31 | β | -$1.31 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 95.1Β’ | $80.19 | $84.3 | +$4.11 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 66.6Β’ | $58.64 | $76.11 | +$17.47 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 6.1Β’ | $7.95 | β | -$7.95 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 66.6Β’ | $50.69 | $76.11 | +$25.42 | |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 74.8Β’ | $79.79 | $85.46 | +$5.67 | 41% 966-1381 (2347) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 16.7Β’ | $15.85 | β | -$15.85 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 74.8Β’ | $63.94 | $85.46 | +$21.52 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 72.1Β’ | $96.22 | $133.4 | +$37.17 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 74.6Β’ | $20.08 | $26.91 | +$6.83 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $12.44 | $27.64 | +$15.2 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 55.5Β’ | $8.61 | $14 | +$5.39 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 65Β’ | $10.45 | $15 | +$4.55 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $8.52 | $18.52 | +$10 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $5.88 | $6.19 | +$0.31 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $14.1 | $15 | +$0.9 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $4.85 | $5.11 | +$0.26 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $12.6 | $13.12 | +$0.52 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 41Β’ | $1.68 | $4.1 | +$2.42 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $9.99 | $10 | +$0.01 | 50% 1135-1122 (2257) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 52% 2202-2016 (4218) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $5.26 | $5.72 | +$0.46 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $0.04 | β | -$0.04 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.32 | β | -$1.32 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
Invested
$750
Value
$745
PnL
+$10.69
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Both legs:
Invested
$527.24
Value
$499.18
PnL
+$10.06
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$419.32
Value
$423.71
PnL
+$4.39
Record
72%
1328-513 (1841)
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$81.51
Value
$84.3
PnL
+$2.79
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Both legs:
Invested
$58.64
Value
$76.11
PnL
+$17.47
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Both legs:
Invested
$79.79
Value
$85.46
PnL
+$5.67
Record
41%
966-1381 (2347)
Both legs:
Invested
$96.22
Value
$133.4
PnL
+$37.17
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$20.08
Value
$26.91
PnL
+$6.83
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$12.44
Value
$27.64
PnL
+$15.2
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$8.61
Value
$14
PnL
+$5.39
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
Invested
$10.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.55
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$8.52
Value
$18.52
PnL
+$10
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.19
PnL
+$0.31
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.9
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.26
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$12.6
Value
$13.12
PnL
+$0.52
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$1.68
Value
$4.1
PnL
+$2.42
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.01
Record
50%
1135-1122 (2257)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
2202-2016 (4218)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.26
Value
$5.72
PnL
+$0.46
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
Invested
$0.04
Value
β
PnL
-$0.04
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
β
PnL
-$1.32
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

BoneOhio
Up β $423.71

pspspsps5
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Up β $133.4
blue.birds
Up β $26.91
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $27.64

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $14