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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

18

Up 89%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

$87.4

Smart Money Signal

Up

16 of 18 top traders (89%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders
Total Value$729.4
Total Shares729
Combined PnL+$88.76
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$1.36
Up β€” 89%Down β€” 11%
SO
soswald1ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$750

Value

$745

PnL

+$10.69

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

Both legs:

Down$35950Β’-$362.86
Up$372.550Β’+$373.55
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$527.24

Value

$499.18

PnL

+$10.06

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

Both legs:

Down$246.7850.1Β’-$247.76
Up$255.8951.3Β’+$257.83
BoneOhio
Up

Invested

$419.32

Value

$423.71

PnL

+$4.39

Record

72%

1328-513 (1841)

pspspsps5ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$81.51

Value

$84.3

PnL

+$2.79

Record

32%

829-1726 (2555)

Both legs:

Down$1.311Β’-$1.31
Up$80.1995.1Β’+$4.11
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$58.64

Value

$76.11

PnL

+$17.47

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

Both legs:

Down$7.956.1Β’-$7.95
Up$50.6966.6Β’+$25.42
13
13897651ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$79.79

Value

$85.46

PnL

+$5.67

Record

41%

966-1381 (2347)

Both legs:

Down$15.8516.7Β’-$15.85
Up$63.9474.8Β’+$21.52
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$96.22

Value

$133.4

PnL

+$37.17

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$20.08

Value

$26.91

PnL

+$6.83

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$12.44

Value

$27.64

PnL

+$15.2

Record

49%

1538-1576 (3114)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$8.61

Value

$14

PnL

+$5.39

Record

48%

1198-1305 (2503)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$10.45

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.55

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$8.52

Value

$18.52

PnL

+$10

Record

50%

1904-1877 (3781)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6.19

PnL

+$0.31

Record

64%

2024-1152 (3176)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$14.1

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.9

Record

44%

1668-2150 (3818)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.26

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

49%

2006-2058 (4064)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$12.6

Value

$13.12

PnL

+$0.52

Record

60%

3075-2056 (5131)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.68

Value

$4.1

PnL

+$2.42

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$9.99

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.01

Record

50%

1135-1122 (2257)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$5.7

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.3

Record

52%

2202-2016 (4218)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$5.26

Value

$5.72

PnL

+$0.46

Record

48%

1683-1811 (3494)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.04

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.04

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.32

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.32

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)