Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 50%
3 arb excluded
$1.5K
-$3.76
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $734.97 | +$13.01 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $367.49 | $734.97 | +$369.36 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $356.31 | — | -$356.35 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $515.49 | $495.06 | -$3.87 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $247.25 | $495.06 | +$249.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $251.24 | — | -$253.17 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 63.2¢ | $68.68 | $69.94 | +$1.27 | 41% 943-1372 (2315) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 57.9¢ | $71.02 | $61.73 | -$9.3 | 50% 2434-2391 (4825) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.9¢ | $35.76 | $61.73 | +$25.97 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.4¢ | $35.27 | — | -$35.27 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $38.35 | $55.49 | +$17.14 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $14.37 | $24.17 | +$9.8 | 60% 3027-2022 (5049) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $18.7 | — | -$18.7 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $12.3 | — | -$8.95 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $9.84 | $7 | +$1.62 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 47% 1647-1881 (3528) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 48% 1655-1778 (3433) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.79 | — | -$1.79 | 32% 810-1702 (2512) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 49% 1499-1549 (3048) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $0.41 | $1.41 | +$1 | 47% 1170-1297 (2467) |
Invested
$750
Value
$734.97
PnL
+$13.01
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
Both legs:
Invested
$515.49
Value
$495.06
PnL
-$3.87
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.68
Value
$69.94
PnL
+$1.27
Record
41%
943-1372 (2315)
Invested
$71.02
Value
$61.73
PnL
-$9.3
Record
50%
2434-2391 (4825)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.35
Value
$55.49
PnL
+$17.14
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Invested
$14.37
Value
$24.17
PnL
+$9.8
Record
60%
3027-2022 (5049)
Invested
$18.7
Value
—
PnL
-$18.7
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Invested
$12.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.95
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
Invested
$9.84
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.62
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
47%
1647-1881 (3528)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
48%
1655-1778 (3433)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.79
Value
—
PnL
-$1.79
Record
32%
810-1702 (2512)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
49%
1499-1549 (3048)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
$1.41
PnL
+$1
Record
47%
1170-1297 (2467)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $69.94
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $55.49
aaa221
Down — $24.17
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $7
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0