Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Down 46%
$271.64
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$708.12 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.2¢ | $513.09 | — | -$488.59 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 68¢ | $120.42 | $111.47 | -$8.95 | 41% 943-1372 (2315) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 61.5¢ | $108.01 | $103.93 | -$4.08 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 30.9¢ | $29.47 | $35 | +$11.23 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 64% 1988-1133 (3121) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.39 | $4.43 | +$0.04 | 66% 2821-1429 (4250) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $29.57 | $3.81 | +$6.26 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $2.05 | $5 | +$2.95 | 52% 2155-1994 (4149) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | $20.79 | — | -$20.79 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.1¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 44% 1633-2119 (3752) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 48% 1655-1778 (3433) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.3¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 47% 1686-1913 (3599) |
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$708.12
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
Invested
$513.09
Value
—
PnL
-$488.59
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Invested
$120.42
Value
$111.47
PnL
-$8.95
Record
41%
943-1372 (2315)
Invested
$108.01
Value
$103.93
PnL
-$4.08
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Invested
$29.47
Value
$35
PnL
+$11.23
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
64%
1988-1133 (3121)
Invested
$4.39
Value
$4.43
PnL
+$0.04
Record
66%
2821-1429 (4250)
Invested
$29.57
Value
$3.81
PnL
+$6.26
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.95
Record
52%
2155-1994 (4149)
Invested
$20.79
Value
—
PnL
-$20.79
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
44%
1633-2119 (3752)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
48%
1655-1778 (3433)
Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
47%
1686-1913 (3599)